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NBA DFS: 1/2/2020


The players posted below are the players that are most likely to hit or exceed their price point value.


Confidence in Slate: RED

*Based on the value, chalk, and studs of the slate. Red - Low Confidence, Yellow - Medium Confidence, Green - High Confidence


Slate Strategy: I will be trying to get Luka into my builds tonight, I think there is enough decent 20 + DK Point value plays on the slate that will allow us to do this.


Point Guard:

  • Shabazz Napier - $5,900: This play will get a boast if KAT and/or Wiggins are ruled out, but as we sit right now we only know that Teague is supposed to sit. This allows us to project Napier to get 30 minutes. When he has done that the past month he is averaging 35 + DK points per game.

Shooting Guard:

  • Alec Burks - $6,500: His usage rate has been insane without Russell this year. We saw that again in the past game with DLO out when Burks went for 45 Dk points. I think that Burks is going to make for another excellent play tonight. If he is too popular you can pivot to Lee who(On the same team). They are both very likely to hit and exceed value.

  • Seth Curry - $4,000: With THJ out Curry was able to get 26 minutes. He has had over 20 minutes in 3 straight. In those 3 games he has shot over 10 times in each, and over 10 3 pointers in 2 of those games. I said it on the Mavs last game and I will say it again. If Curry is going to shoot that much all he has to do is get slightly hot and he will make up this price point.

Small Forward:

  • T.J. Warren - $5,600: I love the price of Warren tonight. Warren has been averaging over 30 DK points in games without Brogdon, which is what we get tonight. The only problem with this play is a general lack of upside. He should hit the "Flame" tonight however, I just do not see Warren being a slate breaker. We also might be able to find a similar value play when the news breaks later tonight.

Power Forward:

  • LMA - $7,600: With DeRozan it feels slightly like we are chasing, but with LMA this just seems to be a stubborn pricing of LMA. He consistently keeps out producing this price point, and DK has essentially been forcing us to play LMA. If he is going to be priced in the 7K range I will continue to roster him each night as a majority of the nights he will go for 40 DK points.

Centers:

  • DeAndre Jordan - $5,300: Another GPP only play with high upside is Jordan tonight. This is a revenge game for what it is worth, but Jordan has been hit or miss over the past month which keeps his price down. He has went for 32, 23, 18, and 50 DK points in his last 4. With the revenge game narrative I will believe that this will be more of a ceiling game for Jordan.

 

* To View the rest of the write up which includes all of our plays by position, our core plays, value plays, and a sample build for tonight. Click the Join 925 Nation button at the top of the page!

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