NFL DFS: Week 7 Main Slate Breakdown - Cash Lineup, Pivot Lineups, GPP Plays, and Values
Preview
This is one of the better-priced slates of the year. The chalk is CMC 33%, Kittle 30.5%, Golden 27%, Gibbs 29%, Marks 28%, Puka 25%, Otton 19%, ARSB 23%, Kyren 21.5%. Love is 17%. Flowers 20%. Coker 17%. Bijan 19%.
Puka being in or out is the biggest swing on the slate. Adams is already out. If Puka sits, Kyren and Higbee become much stronger, Stafford gets less appealing, and the min-price Rams receivers (Mumpfield and Whittington) jump into the same value tier as Ted Hurst. Confirm Puka before lock. Same logic on the other side of the slate: if Breece Hall, Jordan Mason, and Dylan Sampson all sit, Braelon Allen, Aaron Jones, and Quinshon Judkins all get cleaner paths. Cash wants two of the core RBs. GPP can chase the injury pivots. One kicker or one DST is fine. No double TE unless it is a true GPP build.
Injury Notes
Houston: David Montgomery and Jordan are both out. Woody Marks is the back. 10.5-point favorite. About 51% TD chance. Five DFS points receiving last week. High exposure, not a true core. Projects 13–15.
Jets: Breece Hall is questionable. If he sits, Braelon Allen becomes a core. He has been treated like a workhorse for three straight weeks without Hall. Even if Hall plays, Allen still projects for roughly half the work. Matchup against Miami is strong. Ownership is low right now. This is the clearest leverage pivot off Marks.
Browns: Judkins is active. Dylan Sampson is on IR and has not been activated. If Sampson stays out, Jefferson should see 70% of snaps and roughly 20 opportunities against Tennessee. Titans are expected to play with the lead. About a 33% TD chance. Fine click.
Vikings: Jordan Mason is on IR and has not been activated. If he stays out, Aaron Jones is the workhorse. He has scored 10+ in every game without Mason. Minnesota is a 6.5-point favorite against Indianapolis. RBs in this matchup are averaging about 23 fantasy points. Jones becomes a core if Mason sits.
Cardinals: Jeremiah Love is out. Tyler Allgeier and Bam Knight split. Allgeier got 20 opportunities last week. Knight got 17. Expect something closer to 60-40. Both are GPP only. Do not play them together. 5% Allgeier, 4% Knight is fine. Bump their projections if you want the builder to see them.
Rams: Davante Adams is out. Puka is questionable. If Puka plays, he is still the top receiver. If he sits, Kyren gets more receiving work, Higbee becomes a clearer core, Stafford loses appeal, and Mumpfield/Whittington become the Ted Hurst-type values. Colby Parkinson also gains snaps.
49ers: Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel are out. Jordan Watkins is the value. Christian Kirk needs to be activated. CMC and Kittle are both cores. Falcons give up about 14.8 receptions per game to opposing receivers and 16 DFS points to tight ends.
The player pool is listed below. Any updates for the slate will be called out in the Discord Chat.
Quarterback
Jordan Love, GB vs DET — $6,000 | 19.5 proj | 17% own (Core)
Best matchup on the board. Packers are missing two top linebackers. Pair him with two of Golden, Watson, and Kraft. He has looked good. Price is right.
Want to read more?
Subscribe to ninetofivesports.com to keep reading this exclusive post.
