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Preseason NFL DFS: Friday 8/26/2022 - Slate 2022 Preview + Core/Captain Plays

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Friday Slate:

We have a decent amount of news that should help us make great lineups.

Just a call out the NFL Lineup Optimizer is available for PGA DFS members. (This is most likely going to change into just a 925 membership.)

Noteworthy News:

Bills: Most starters will not play.

Panthers: Starters will play into the second quarter.

Seahawks: Starters will play, and Drew Lock will play "A lot"


Case Keenum and Matt Barkley - BUF - Mid Exposure:

Josh Allen is not going to play which most likely means that we are going to get a half of Keenum and a half of Barkley. If we get a half of each against backups that is intriguing to me. Last week the Bills blew out the Broncos so Barkley was not asked to do much but did look sharp in the few passing attempts he got. Both are solid plays and the nice part is that they are easy to stack. The only worry with the Bills players is that most of the Panthers starters are going to play into the second quarter.

Drew Lock (SEA) - Mid Exposure:

Geno Smith is apparently going to start with Drew Lock getting a majority of reps in this one. I do think that we will see Jacob Eason a little bit in the 4th, but the Seahawks want to get a good look at Drew Lock before they name a starter. Is Drew Lock good? No, but playing time is king in preseason DFS.

Easton Stick + Chase Daniel - LAC - Core Play:

It seems like the starters are going to sit in this game once again which means that Stick and Daniel are firmly in play once again. They have both had a solid preseason as they did last year. Really there is no reason to not play some of them at the very least.

Ian Book - NO - Core Play:

If we get news that Winston will sit (which I think we will), and that Dalton will sit then Book is just a lock because well he would be the only QB. That was the case last week and he threw the ball 28 times for 113 yards 1 TD, and 1 INT. The part that I like the most about him is that he ran the ball 7 times for 50 yards.

Bailey Zappe - NE - High Exposure:

I sort of see this week playing out the same as how last week did for this team with Zappe getting a majority of the work. He threw the ball 25 times for 173 yards but did have a pick. I do think the Patriots want to get a good look at him, so he should play at least the full second half.

Jarrett Stidham - Chase Garbers - LV - Low Exposure:

I sort of see this week playing out the same as how last week did for this team with Zappe getting a majority of the work. He threw the ball 25 times for 173 yards but did have a pick. I do think the Patriots want to get a good look at him, so he should play at least the full second half.

Running backs:

James Cook - R. Blackshear - Mid Exposure:

The Bills RB room is going to be hard to predict at least right now, basically, all of them have looked good this preseason, and we do not have an indication of playing time. To me it would make sense for Cook to get some work in this game as he is a rookie and Moss and Singletary most likely will not play much. After that it seems like Duke Johnson and Blackshear are playing for the final RB roster spot. Both Johnson and Blackshear could be good plays but I like the Rookie a little bit more. He was a "flashy" RB the last two weeks and was catching passes out of the backfield. Blackshear playing time will most likely come in the second half of this game.

Chuba Hubbard - CAR - Low Exposure:

It seems both Hubbard and Foreman will get some work in this one, and it is probably Foreman that has a better chance of scoring but Hubbard should be involved in the passing game. CMC is not playing in this game and from what I have seen Spencer Brown will not play. That leaves only 3 active RBs for tonight which is why I think Hubbard will play a decent amount. Last week Hubbard, Foreman, and Brown played about 20% of the snaps each.

Darwin Thompson - SEA - High Exposure:

Last week Thompson basically got all of the snaps in the second half, it was only when he needed a break that Travis Homer and Deejay Dallas would come in. Both Homer and Dallas will be decent plays in this one, and both have looked good. Thompson looked great he was running hard and fighting for every yard. He could get used in the passing game more than he was last week as well.

Rico Dowdle + Malik Davis - SEA - High Exposure:

I do not think we are going to see a lot of Zeke or Pollard or any of them in this game, I think the "script" for this week will be the same as last. Dowdle and Davis getting a lot of work and reps. Both played 43 % and 33% of the snaps and combined had nearly 100 total yards, 2 Td, and 22 total touches. I think they are both solid plays in this one.

Tony Jones Jr - NO - Low Exposure:

I am not sure how much Tony Jones Jr will play but I would assume it will be the same amount as last week. Last week he had 4 carries for 19 yards, and 3 REC for 20 yards.

JJ Taylor and Pierre Strong - NE - High Exposure:

I think Kevin Harris has basically proved he is not an NFL RB which means I think Pierre Strong will get a lot of work in the second half of this game. RB JJ Taylor was the best-looking RB out of all Patriots last week but that is partially by design. What I found interesting is that Taylor only had 1 target. He did have 6 carries for 33 yards. *Note this play is based on the assumption that Damien Harris will not play, and Stevenson will not play much. We could however see some of Ty Montgomery.

Britain Brown - LV - High Exposure:

Zamir White seems like he will be the RB 2 behind Josh Jacobs this year, but fellow rookie RB might have a say in that. My personal favorite call from last week was Britain Brown. He followed up a great 2nd game performance in the preseason with another great one last week ushing the ball 9 times for 70 yards, adding two catches for 7 yards. I think those carries will be there for him again in this one.

Wide Receiver:

Khalil Shakir, and Isaiah Hodgins - BUF - Mid Exposure:

Shakir has been impressive this preseason, and it is clear that the Bills like what they see in him. With a very crowded WR depth chart I still think that he is going to get a decent amount of snaps in this one. Last week he had 8.9 DK points. Hodgins had a big preseason game in week one scoring over 15 DK points. In week 2 h only scored 5.8 DK points. No WR really had a big game due to the Bills blowing out the Broncos so it was nice to see both Shakir and Hodgins produce with minimal opportunities.

Shi Smith, Derek Wright, Rashard Higgins, and Keith Kirkwood - CAR Low Exposure:

This is a lot like the Packers WR situation last night, where they on paper where we knew the top 4 WRs for the Packers it was just tough to nail down which two would go off. I think that is the approach in this one as well. Kirkwood has been getting targeted a lot playing in 61% of the snaps last week. Higgins played in 54% of the snaps last week, and Derek Wright + Shi Smith played in 41%. I personally like what I have seen more out of Smith and Wright so I would like them more as plays.

Dee Eskridge, and Bo Melton - SEA - Stacks:

Last week Bo Melton played a ton the most out of any WR, RB, TE, or QB on the Seahawks. Bo Melton had 11 "targets" but really the 4 that he caught were all the ones that were really catchable. It was highly encouraging to see all those targets will those snaps. (Note worth Aaron Fuller had 10 targets as well). Dee Eskridge will play in this game, and much like Christian Watson, why would a player play in this game if they were not healthy?

Michael Bandy - LAC - Core Play:

I thought this would feel like I was pushing my luck with him as a play, but the playing time for him should be secure tonight, and he has been impressive this preseason, just dominating each game. The question is can we play Josh Palmer, Jalen Guyton, or Joe Reed? I am not sure but I think all 4 of those players would be fine plays tonight.

Lil'Jordan Humphrey + Tre Nixon - NE - Core Plays:

With Wilkerson expected to sit in this game I love Nixon again this week as he is the natural Wilkerson replacement who was already the natural Meyers replacement. Nixon continues to impress, and get open. Last week he had the most targets on the team at 8 scoring 11.6 DK points. Humphrey had his best game I think of his sort career. With the Saints he did not really have that burst you would want with a WR, last week I finally saw that. He has had two good games, I think he will have another good game in this one. He had 12.1 DK points.

Tight End:

OJ Howard - Bills - Stack:

As you guys probably noticed it is extremely easy to stack the Bills "best" plays on this slate, and if you want to take it one step further you could play OJ Howard who had 3 targets last week, turning them into 3 catches for 16 yards and a TD. It does seem like he is playing for a roster spot in this game. (last week Howard played in 55% of the snaps.

Jake Ferguson - DAL - Core Play:

The Cowboys are banged up at TE which means that there is a lot of playing time to go around Ferguson has been the one that has been productive. Ferguson had 2 catches last week, he played in 52% of the snaps. TE Peyton Hendershot also played a lot of snaps playing in 57% of snaps. Both could be in play tonight.

Jesper Horsted - LV - High Exposure:

Horsted has been impressive this preseason as he was in last years preseason. He had 3 targets for 3 catches and 53 yards. I just like what I have seen from him and he should be low owned in this game.

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