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The Drunk Slate - NBA DFS: 12/31/2019

Free Write up for tonight's NBA DFS Slate.


We get a night tonight in DFS where if you're not going out you could possibly gain a huge edge if some slate breaking news comes in. If you're going out tonight just make sure to check you lineup every so often. We are due to get news its just a matter of when it comes out. (DEN/HOU and DAL/OKC)


The lineup in this write up, and the information below is subject to change. The lineup posted should be used as a tool to guide your lineup preferences. The lineup posted will most likely be changed before lineup lock and maybe after lineup lock as the news comes in.


The players posted below are the players that are most likely to hit or exceed their price point value.


Confidence in Slate: Red

*Based on the value, chalk, and studs of the slate. Red - Low Confidence, Yellow - Medium Confidence, Green - High Confidence


There are so many decent GPP plays, but not enough safe plays on this slate. This is a slate where we will end up with a lot of salary meaning we can pay up for a stud that won't hit value but will still get a lot of points. (Jokic, Luka are examples)


Point Guard:

  • Ky Bowman - $3,100: I love this play simply due to the price point, factor in that DLo is out tonight as well, and Bowman makes for a strong play. He is almost a lock to hit value as I am projecting him to see 20 minutes, he could potentially see even more than that tonight as well. Bowman should be able to get to 20 DK points tonight regardless of the outcome of the game.

Shooting Guard:

  • Seth Curry - $3,900: With THJ ruled out for tonight's game Curry should get over 25 minutes especially if the game stays close. If Curry gets those minutes, and his shot is even somewhat on he will hit value. We know that if his shot is out he could break the slate.

Small Forward:

  • DeMar DeRozan - $7,100: DeRozan should be able to hit value tonight at this price point at the very least. He has been very spotty recently, but if you were trying to game stack this game he makes a lot of since. I do think he will get to 40 DK points tonight.


Power Forward:

  • Marquese Chriss - $4,100: I do hate the price here, wish he was a value play tonight, because he do not know if the minutes will be there. If we knew that he was going to get 20 + minutes he would be an easy lock on this slate. Whenever Chriss sees over 10 minutes he is averaging well over a DK PPM, and when he sees over 20 minutes he is averaging over 30 DK points. I will have a lot of Chriss due to his upside.


Centers:

  • Kevin Love - $7,500: Kevin Love is another play that would typically fall in the "If/Then" section of the write up, but with a small slate we will have to get some ownership towards him. Love has been dominating recently going over 40 DK points in 4 straight. The reason he is priced this low is because of the high likelihood that the game could blow out. If it doesn't however it will be because KLove is putting in work.

 

If you would like to see the full write up as well as the core plays, value plays, if/then statements, and the sample build for tonight - Click the "Join 925 Nation" Button above.

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