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NBA DFS: 1/4/2020


The lineup in this write up, and the information below is subject to change. The lineup posted should be used as a tool to guide your lineup preferences. The lineup posted will most likely be changed before lineup lock and maybe after lineup lock as the news comes in.


The players posted below are the players that are most likely to hit or exceed their price point value.


Confidence in Slate: RED

*Based on the value, chalk, and studs of the slate. Red - Low Confidence, Yellow - Medium Confidence, Green - High Confidence


Slate Strategy: I will be trying to pay up for Giannis, and Trae Young tonight.


Point Guard:

The players posted below are the players that are most likely to hit or exceed their price point value. Confidence in Slate: RED*Based on the value, chalk, and studs of the slate. Red - Low Confidence, Yellow - Medium Confidence, Green - High Confidence Slate Strategy: I will be trying to get Luka into my builds tonight, I think there is enough decent 20 + DK Point value plays on the slate that will allow us to do this.

Point Guard:

Derrick White - $4,200: White is going to get the start tonight, which means that he is going to get around 25 minutes, which means that he should be able to get to 25 DK points.


Darius Garland - $4,600: Garland is going to get high 30 minutes again, and at this price point I think that Garland is going to hit value. I am just not sure he is going to dominate. Still he has went for 35, 21, and 27 DK points the last 3 games.


Marcus Smart - $5,400: With Kemba out again tonight Smart will need to be owned as he went for over 40 DK points in his last game. Now he gets an even better match up today against the Bulls It would not be surprising to see him get over 40 again tonight. He should at the very least not kill your lineups tonight.


Shooting Guard:

Brandon Goodwin - $ 3,600: With all of the injuries that the Hawks have tonight I think that Goodwin has a great chance to get over 20 minutes. Goodwin has been able to go off in limited minutes the last 2 games scoring 21 and 40 DK points in just 13, and 22 minutes. If he does get 20 minutes I expect him to score over 20 DK points. I also really like Trae Young as a play. We know what he was doing without John Collins, and without Jabari Parker. I think the usage will be extremely high for both these players.


Jaylen Brown - $7,400: Brown has went for 40 + DK points in 3 out of his last 4 games. With Kemba out again tonight I think that Brown will be a lock to hit value. I love him even more becasue of this match up.


Demar DeRozan - $6,700: Sure this game could potentially blowout, but regardless Demar is simply too cheap at this price point. At this price point he has hit value in 5 straight slates. He recently has put up 37, 41, and 46 DK points. If the game does stay close he will be a reason why.


Small Forward:

T.J. Warren - $5,700: Warren is simply too cheap with Brogdon out at this price point. I just do not get it. Over the last 5 games he is averaging 33 DK points per game as well. He once again will be a safe play, but I worry about his upside.


De'andre Hunter - $4,500: Hunter should be inline for over 35 minutes tonight, and in games that he gets over 30 minutes he is averaging 26 DK PPG. This isn't great but I really do not want to ignore the projected minutes of Hunter tonight.


Power Forward:

LMA - $7,200: Honestly why is LMA this cheap? Against the Bucks? Whose weakness is PF's? Who is ever doing the pricing for LMA this year must hate him. He has been priced too low this whole year, and I will continue to roster him at this price point the whole year. Sure he is have a dud occasionally but tonight should not be the night. I do think this game will stay close tonight which means I like the idea of playing LMA and Giannis. If it stays close Giannis should get close to 60 DK points if not more.

Kevin Love - $7,300: Sure Love hasn't went for 40 DK points lately, abut its not like he doesn't have the ability to, and he will hit value. I do really like the upside Love tonight as well.


Centers:

Alex Len - $4,600 : Len will probably be a popular play tonight. He has seen over 20 minutes in 4 out of the last 5 games, and with John Collins out tonight that should happen again. I think that he will score 25 DK points tonight but we know he has the upside to break the slate.

 

Value Plays:

  • Ky Bowman: I like the price point of Bowman as it is back below 4K. This isn't a great value play but he should get around 20 DK points.

  • Patty Mills: Mills needs to be rostered a ton tonight. He could easily break the slate tonight at this price point.


Core Plays: Giannis, Young, LMA, Warren, Brown, and Smart


If/Then Statements:

NA tonight

Can't Ignore Production:

NA tonight


 

Lineup


*This is a sample lineup. Lineup will change before lock. Use this as a tool to assist in your lineup build process.


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