Course Overview:
We have the first truly "normal" event in over the past two months. We will have fans at this event, and the event will all be played on one course with a cut!
The Farmers is a very consistent event. The winning score, average cut line, and key stats all tend to stay the same. Which as a whole makes this week much easier to predict.
In the free write up we provide a top play at each pricing tier. For a bigger breakdown of the event, this week click the "Join 925 Nation" Button. It's the best value in PGA DFS in the industry. There you will get our full writeup, player pool, Core Plays, Cash/GPP plays, and our Model Rankings. It's only $10 a month. Compared to other Membership sites out there this is on average 80% cheaper. Paying less for easy advice, better plays, better results, at the best value.
TOP PLAYS THIS WEEK
High Tier:
Daniel Berger ($9,600): I love some Daniel Berger this week. He is a stand out play to me this week as this price point. He ranks top 5 in the model this week, and you are about to see why. No finish of worse than T23 in his last 3 starts with an average finish of 13. He has made the cut 3 of 4 times at this course. In those made cuts his worst finish was 11th. He has no real weaknesses in his game right now leading him to be a top 18 stat fit. It would not shock me in Berger goes out and wins this week.
Mid Tier:
Russell Henley ($8,200): Henley is the ultimate GPP play this week. He is the best stat fit in the field this week. With all but Ball Striking being top 10. (BS - 36th) So really he is by far the best stat fit. Henley has two missed cuts on the year which have some in his last 3 starts. But he had a T11 in between those missed cuts. All of his made cuts have been T29 or better finishes. Henley has to missed cuts at this course and two finishes of T16 or better. Both the upside and the risk is there with Henley his week. I will have some of this week in GPPs.
Low Tier:
Carlos Ortiz ($7,800): Ortiz is just a standout play at his price point. He is checking all the boxes, and he has just as high of a cut likelihood as players in the 9K-8K range. He has great recent form with a 29th, 14th, 37th, and an 8th place finish. His Course History is: 25th, and a 60th place finish. He is a top 21 stat fit this week. He has bad Strokes Gained Approach (which also factors in to SGT2G), but other than that all the other stats are ranked T29 or better. Ortiz will be in a lot of my builds this week!
Value Tier:
Matt Jones ($6,900): To me Matt Jones is the best of the value plays. But there is a huge separation between him on Patton Kizzire who is only priced $100 more. Still in a week where we are trying to find quality value plays Jones can be our guy. He has made one cut and missed one cut at this event over the last 4 years. He has 0 missed cuts over his past 4 starts. He is a top 40 stat fit. All signs to him making the cut.
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