Betting Card Preview:
925 Sports had a great run last year hitting on a winner or second place finisher in 50% of the events. If we just look at the 2021 year it has been over 60%. We just missed out on a few long shot bets winning as well with Troy Merritt, Roger Sloan, and Sam Burns all failing to convert there win opportunities at + 100/1. The biggest long shot bets we hit last year were Matt Jones 70/1 at the Honda Classic, and Billy Horschel at 80/1 for the Dell Match Play tournament. This year we look to continue that good run of consistently having a betting card player in the hunt on the back 9 of a Sunday afternoon.
Last Week Recap:
Last week we gave you guys Matthew Wolff as an outright bet who ended up finishing 2nd to Core Play Sungjae Im who we also gave you on a separate writeup. This continues a good stretch in which 925 has either had the winner or the 2nd place finisher. So far in the year of 2021 we have been able to predict the winner or second place finisher in 50% of the event.
Course Name: The Summit Golf Club
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
Designer: Tom Fazio
Course Style: TPC
Event Type: No Cut
Birdie Or Better %
Par 5 Scoring
Below you will see the top outright bets this week.
Xander Schauffele - 12/1: Xander is a resident in Nevada right now, so he has some "ties" to this area. I think that is pretty evident to his finish last year at Shadow Creak when he had a second place finish. Typically speaking with Xander he does well at no cut events. He is ranking out top 10 in the 925 model this week but I think that he is due for a win.. This could be the week.
Sam Burns - 22/1: Burns is in the best recent form out of anyone in the field which includes a top 10 finish at one of the comp courses the BMW Championship. Burns was in contention last week after getting the win the week before that is something that is appealing to me this week. Last year Burns was one of the best in no cut events with a Stroke Gained Total average rank of 9th. Which is just incredible. Not only that but Burns is ranking out as the best pick in the 925 Model this week.
Rory McIlroy - 16/1: Rory's comp course history is 21st, 4th, and 6th which ranks out as some of the best in the field. Rory ranks out 13th in SG Total in no cut events over the past year. This all points to the ceiling that Rory could have this week. Really with Rory it is just a matter of when he get rolling. We know he will be able to score on par 5s as well. I could easily see him winning this week.
Collin Morikawa - 16/1: Now people are going to love the fact that Morikawa is a member at this course which can be good, and it can be bad. I don't know what it is but a lot of the time players will struggle on their home courses. On the flip side of that when they are on they are typically getting top 5 finishes. Its almost like playing at a courses they should play well at adds more pressure but the nice thing is we don't have to worry about that because well its a no cut event he should be able to figure it out. Looking at the comp courses Morikawa has finished 12th, 63rd, and 1st. So I love that we have some upside from him. One thing that stood out to me when looking at his player profile is that he has dominated in easy to hit fairways, and courses that have thicker rough. He also does better on TPC style courses.