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Exploring the Top Picks for Myrtle Beach Classic 2024: Outright Bets and Core Plays

Below you will see my breakdown of the top Bets this week. If you enjoy the coverage please let me know by leaving a like and subscribe on twitter that references this writeup.

NineToFive's Core Plays since 2022 are 4.5% more likely to finish inside the top 10 than they are to miss the cut. NineToFive's Core Plays finished inside of the top 20 48% of the time.

Last week's Core Plays Results:

Si Woo Kim: 13th

Alex Noren: 3rd

Adam Scott: 30th

Mark Hubbard: 52nd

So all Core Plays made the cut, the biggest difference make was that Alex Noren was able to finish in 3rd place.

For a bigger deep dive of what I am looking at for this week make sure to watch the video listed above as I break down everything for that tournament, including what are the key stats for that week.

*H1, H2, H3, H4 - Course/Event History.

**KS1, KS2, KS3, KS4 - Key Stat

***RF Stands for Recent Form

****Specialist Data - Data point taken from all the unique course characteristics.


Kelly Kraft

$7,4000 DraftKings

75/1 Outright Odds

Favorite Bet: Top 40 -105

We have not seen the Myrtle Beach Classic as a tournament course ever on the PGA Tour so we are resorting to more general stats this week, and 0 course history. Due to us having 0 Course History to go off of we can default to looking at Specialist Data.

Key stat wise Kraft excels ranking 3rd best in the field, now the biggest worry with him is his Strokes Gained Total where he ranks 44th in the field, but after that, he ranks out top 5 or better in Total Driving, Ball Striking, and SG Differential. Kraft ranks out as a top 20 specialist, and he is in the 4th-best form in the field. He has made 8 out of his past 9 cuts on the PGA Tour, and has 6 top top 25 finishes during that span. He is not priced correctly and this is a spot to attack.


Erik Van Rooyen

$10,900 DraftKings

25/1 Outright Odds

I want to start off by saying that it does feel crazy to like EVR coming in with his best finish over his last 4 starts being a 33rd place finish, but that is the week that we have when it's a secondary event.

He is the top Specialist in the field, a top 10 stat fit, and even with that poor recent form he still ranks out top 3 in form ranking. I love the fact that we are getting him at 25/1 odds. The issue with EVR is that an outright bet on him is the only bet that makes sense, because either he will be on his game, and be in contention on Sunday or he will be someone who will be a cut sweat.


Ben Martin

$7,600 DraftKings

65/1 Outright Odds

Favorite Bet: Top 40 -110

Ben Martin is a golfer who is from South Carolina, went to College in South Carolina, and now still lives in South Carolina, he is also a golf that ranks out well this week. On top of that, he is also at a great number both in DFS, and betting-wise. No golf pick this week for the Myrtle Beach Classic is going to be checking all the boxes, but it is nice to see that Martin is top 25 or better in all the key metrics we look at. The issue with Martin is the missed cut two events ago, besides that he is a good enough play on paper, and he makes for a very solid top-40 bet this week.


Justin Lower

$9,200 DraftKings

40/1 Outright Odd

Favorite Bet: Top 30 +110s

Justin Lower to Top 30 is one of my favorite bets this week if not my favorite bet. He has finished top 30 or better in 5 straight events, and over his past 5 events, he has the best form in the field. Overall though he is coming in with the 7th best form which is still good enough.

Justin Lower is a good enough stat fit, and a great Specialist this week. It would not be shocking to see everything come together for him this week to get a win. The only thing that has held him back recently is having one bad round per tournament compared to the field. If he changed that one bad round into another good round he would have easily have found himself in contention already over his past 5 events.


If you enjoyed this write-up then you will enjoy NineToFive's Fantasy Golf Tools designed with you in mind for only $10 a month. Tools are listed below as well on 925's Golf Homepage.


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