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Last week was another great week. The top playlisted last week Webb Simpson ended up taking down the tournament. Actually, if you take out one-shot by Gary Woodland two weeks ago we would be 5 out of 5 on the year. Woodland was a chalky disappointed that week, last week the Chalky play was Sungjae Im, this week I do not really think we will have a chalky play. The ownerships should be spread out which means that if the player pool hits it should hit big. You will see this strategy in the player pool.
This is a week where I think we will have a low % of lineups with 6/6 across the cut line, but the ones that do get 6/6 will have a really strong chance to win. I am going to be mix and matching my core and high value plays with the rest of my plays to give myself the highest upside.
This week Pebble Beach Pro-Am is played on 3 different courses throughout the first 3 rounds. This adds to another reason why I dislike this week. The easiest course in Monterey Peninsula and the Hardest is SpyGlass. So if you're playing the Showdown Slate attack the players in the pool when they are playing Monterey Peninsula.
The US Open was played here last year as well. It was played on Pebble Beach only. Played at a different time of year, the greens were harder to hit, and the rough was a lot more penalizing. I am not going to penalize a player for doing poorly in the US Open, and I am not going to go crazy if they did well. Looking at the US Open will just be "the cherry on top"
TOP PLAYS THIS WEEK
Branden Grace: Grace would be a play that I would load up on if he were 8.5K this week he is not though. Still I like him as a play, he has a T28, and T20 in his last two starts here. He ranks top 30 in BS, TD, and SG AP. He has also made the cut in his last 3 events with an average finish of 9th. I don't think we will get top 5 upside out of him this week but he does make for a strong play.
Russell Knox: Knox is either the best or second-best play on the board this week. (Depending on what your key stats are). He finished T14, T15, and a MC in his last 3 starts at this event. (The MC was 4 years ago) Knox ranks out as a top 10 stat fit this week. We know the current form that he has been in. I will continue to roll with Knox this week.
Jim Furyk: Furyk made the cut at the US Open last year finishing T28. He has also finished T14, and T66 in his last 2 starts at this event. He is a top 5 stat fit this week, and has made his last 11 cuts. It is him or Knox as the best plays on the board this week. This does worry me, I do not like trusting Furyk this week. But we have to, which is why this is a red week.
D.J. Trahan: Trahan is a great stat fit this week. The guy just hits the ball well, statically speaking he is just a better version of Hideki. Yes Hideki is the example I used as they both can't putt. Trahan is T11 or better in Total Driving and Ball Striking. He is a top 10 stat fit this week. He also made the cut here last year finishing T18. His recent form is spotty, but we did not like him as much those weeks. He is a high upside play this week. A top 10 finish would not surprise me.
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