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PGA DFS - Farmers Insurance Open 2020 (Free Write Up)



This tournament is absolutely loaded on the top end, and I really can not find a reason to fade any of the top players. Rory, Rahm, Woods, Rose, Hideki, and Woodland all have a great shot to go out and win this week. Then we have players like Finau, and Xander who could be dark horses to win as well. Needless to say, I am pretty pumped up for this week!


Key Stats This Week: Ball Striking, Total Driving, Par 5 Scoring, Birdie to Bogey (B2B)


This Week's Strategy:

- GPP: Play the core plays / high exposure plays mix and matching them with the High Tier, and Value Tier.


In the free write up we provide a top play at each pricing tier. For a bigger breakdown of the event, this week click the "Join 925 Nation" Button. It's the best value in PGA DFS in the industry.

 

SLATE BREAKDOWN:


TOP PLAYS THIS WEEK


High Tier: I am literally fine with any of the top tier plays I mentioned above. The ones listed below are the ones I will have the most exposure to because they should provide the most value.


Gary Woodland: Woodland has an average finish of 15th on the season, which is somewhat skewed because he has 4 top 10 finishes in just 5 starts. He has an average finish of 14th at this tournament over the last 4 years here. He also ranks as a top 10 stat fit this week. Woodland is checking all of the boxes this week and has a strong likelihood to make the cut. He should be able to at the very least top 20 this week.


Mid Tier:

Cam Smith: Smith has a wide range of outcomes this week, and this is mostly due to the fact that he won in his last event, and we do not know where he is at mentally. Had he not won his that last event he would be a core play. He is basically just a Cheaper Hideki this week. Ascending Event History, great stat fit, and is in great form. 3 of Smith's last 4 starts have been top 10 finishes.


Low Tier:

Russell Knox: Knox may have officially become these years Scott Piercy. Just a guy that checks every box each week, and continue to be value each week. Knox has made 7 straight cuts in a row, is 2/2 in cuts made at this event in the last 4 years, and is a top 25 stat fit this week. Knox is a play that we continue to roster until he busts or the tournament is an absolute no go for him. (Which he shouldn't be playing in anyways)


Value Tier: (Can I just copy and paste what I wrote last week, or really the past 3 weeks).


Mathew NeSmith: Stat wise NeSmith is essentially Russell Knox, where his game does not have a weakness thus far. He has made 4 straight cuts in a row as well. He lacks course history, but I think NeSmith is going to make for a great play this week, and will probably be my highest owned value play this week. (Yes I did keep this the same)



For the full write up this week, as well as our Player Pool, Model Rankings, Player Exposures, and a Sample Build Click the "Join 925 Nation" Button.

 


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