In the free write up we provide a top play at each pricing tier. For a bigger breakdown of the event, this week click the "Join 925 Nation" Button. It's the best value in PGA DFS in the industry.
This week is basically the exact opposite of last week where we can attack this slate from everywhere. The field switched over from an "Open" event to an "Invitational", this basically means that we are losing around 25 players this week. Reducing the field reduces the edge that we gain in DFS, and it increases the likelihood that lineups will get 6/6 across the cut line. This is typically an event where the longer hitters do well, and players that have played this event before typically will play better as well. I will be factoring in Course History over recent form slightly more this week.
TOP PLAYS THIS WEEK
Patrick Cantlay: Cantlay is one of my favorite plays this week, as he is checking all the boxes. He has made the cut in his last 13 starts, and he has an average finish of 18th in 6 starts this season. He is a top 10 stat fit, ranking 4th in Total Driving, 1st in Ball Striking, 6th in Strokes Gained Approach, and 71st in Driving Distance. He has finished T15, and T4 in two starts at this course. He should be a lock to finish T20 or better.
Abraham Ancer: Ancer is trending in the right direction with his course history, finishing T44 last year, T68 the year before that, and a missed cut in his first start. His recent form has been elite! In his last 5 starts he has finished T6, 2, T38, T8, and T4. 4 TOP 10 FINISHES IN 5 STARTS!!! Ancer isn't the longest off of the Tee ranking 114, every other stat that we are looking at is 79 in better. Ranks T56 in Total Driving, 49th in Ball Striking, 15th in Strokes Gained Total, T22 in Strokes Gained AP, and 5th in scrambling. This play is a little risky at this price point due to the other players around him, but I love his upside.
Bryson DeChambeau: Bryson is the most underpriced play this week. He is Top 5 in Total Driving, 10th in Ball Striking, T22 in Strokes Gained Total, 21st in Total Putting, 146th in SG AP, 27th in Scrambling, and 6th in Driving Distance. So sure he has been stroking on his second shot, but I like that he is scrambling well. The rest of the stats are absolutely elite! Bryson has finished T15, T41, and W/D in his last 3 starts. Once again getting better in each start. His recent form I guess is why he was priced this low. In 7 starts this year Bryson has finished T52, T8, MC, 15th, T4, T14, and MC. The recent form is not bad, and I love the discount this week. Trying to figure out if I want to put him in cash.
Carlos Ortiz: Ortiz seems underpriced this week. He has finished T9, and T26 here in his only 2 starts over the past 4 years. He ranks 59th in Driving Distance and 26th in Scrambling. He has made 8 out of 10 cuts this year with 3 of those starts being top 3 finishes. He has made 8 out of his last 9 cuts.
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