The Great, The Good, and the Bad.
The Great: is that we had Daniel Berger pegged as one of the best plays this week, even had him on the betting card. Berger ended up winning the tournament last week. Making it 12 out of 17 tournaments that the Winner has been established as a clear cut play by 925. (excludes WGC, and other nonfull tournament field events). We also had Gary Woodland T9, Collin Morikawa Runner up, and Sungjae Im Top 10. All 4 plays were marked as a top 10 play this week in the player pool. On a normal week hitting those plays at our ownerships would normally mean we had a great week, but this was not a normal week, and we knew that going into it. Matthew NeSmith was a "deep" value play that was 1% owned on the slate. It was easy to peg him as a guy that would make the cut.
The Good: We knew that last week would have a ton of variance, you just didn't know where it would come from. Knowing when, and when not to play a lot money/lineups is a key factor that we hit on last week!
The Bad: Two of the top 3 highest owned players on the slate missed the cut. They were both Core Plays as well. Webb Simpson, and Harris English. Webb had his worst putting performance in his last 14 starts. This should be easily correctable for him. English finished T68, just outside the cut line. Matt Kuchar also finished T68, but it was the way he finished that hurt. A double-bogey on 18 caused him to miss the cut. If Kuchar makes the cut it would have been a very solid week.
In the free write up we provide a top play at each pricing tier. For a bigger breakdown of the event, this week click the "Join 925 Nation" Button. It's the best value in PGA DFS in the industry. There you will get our full writeup, player pool, Core Plays, Cash/GPP plays, and our Model Rankings. It's only $10 a month. Compared to other Membership sites out there this is on average 80% cheaper. Paying less for easy advice, better plays, better results, at the best value.
TOP PLAYS THIS WEEK
Xander Schauffele: Sure Xander Clutched up, then Choked, and we do not know how that will really affect him mentally, and sure he is priced up not too. But I like him as a play this week. He has two made cuts here a 63, and 32. His DA lacks a little bit as well, but he makes up for it with some clutch saves, ranking top 9 in bogey avoidance. Xander has made 9 out of 10 cuts on the year, and has an average finish of 11th in those 9 made cuts.
(I was going to include Webb as the High Tier play this week but I didn't want to do that to you guys twice)
Gary Woodland: Once again I am shocked at Woodland's price point. He is one of the best wind players in the game, and overall ranks out perfect for this event. He is 1st in BS, TD, and 7th in GIR, and 3rd in Bogey Avoidance. He has made 9 out of 10 cuts, and 6 of them have been top 10 finishes. He doesn't have course experience here in the last 4 years which is my only concern. Still, he makes for a great play at a great price point.
Billy Horschel: Billy Ho once again is are Low Tier set it and forget it. He has made 3 out of 4 cuts here including a 5th finish in 2018. He has made 6 straight cuts on tour, and is a top 15 play this week. Simply put he is a golfer that ranks out really well to make the cut this week. Given his price point, and the variance we have once again this week that makes Billy Ho a great play.
Matthew NeSmith: NeSmith continued to look good last week, which means that he definitely deserves a price decrease... He still ranks out extremely well this week as a top 15 play, and still ranks out as someone that should make that cut. When we are looking at value plays all we care about is a made cut, thus Nesmith is a strong play again this week. Also he had been a great wind player this year as well. (Narrative Street - He proposed to his now Wife on the 18th hole here just 2 years ago, I'd imagine that helps him gear up a little bit more for this event)