Betting Card Preview:
925 Sports had a great run last year hitting on a winner or second place finisher in 50% of the events. If we just look at the 2021 year it has been over 60%. We just missed out on a few long shot bets winning as well with Troy Merritt, Roger Sloan, and Sam Burns all failing to convert there win opportunities at + 100/1. The biggest long shot bets we hit last year were Matt Jones 70/1 at the Honda Classic, and Billy Horschel at 80/1 for the Dell Match Play tournament. This year we look to continue that good run of consistently having a betting card player in the hunt on the back 9 of a Sunday afternoon.
This week we know that players are going to have to have a strong approach game if they want to do well, and they will need to be able to convert on Par 5s. Those are the most key stats this week. Using the 925 Model, and the 925 Custom Model these are the top bets to win this week.
Below you will see the top outright bets this week. They will be sorted based on how they are priced in DFS (Draftkings).
In the free write up we provide a top BETS at each pricing tier. For a bigger breakdown of the event, this week click the "Join 925 Nation" Button. It's the best value in PGA DFS in the industry. There you will get our full writeup, player pool, Core Plays, Cash/GPP plays, and our Model Rankings. It's only $10 a month. Compared to other Membership sites out there this is on average 80% cheaper. Paying less for easy advice, better plays, better results, at the best value.
TOP PLAYS THIS WEEK
High Tier:
Cameron Tringale - (25/1) - Outright Bet: Now this very much seems like it could end up being a trap play, and I do not know really what that is. Cameron Tringale is checking all the boxes this week. He is top 30 in RF, ST, CH, and thus he is a top 12 pick in the 925 model this week. Simple put he should be a great play this week, and I guess that is what has me worried about Tringale is eventually we have to believe that this good could that he has been playing will come to an end. Where I like Tringale the most this week is actually in betting. We know that he is a great pick, and he is someone that could easily put it all together this week and win.
Charley Hoffman - (25/1) - Outright Bet: Charley Hoffman is a play this week that I really do like, but at the same time I am worried about how chalky he is. Hoffman has finished 6th, and 23rd at this event, and he is top 55 or better in all the key stats that we are looking at. He has finished 22nd, 38th, and 21st in his last 3 starts on tour. He is the 6th best play this week as well. I really like him this week but for some reason I just feel more comfortable using him as an outright bet than I do a DFS play, although obviously I think he is one of the best options we have this week.
Mid Tier:
Seamus Power - (35/1) - Outright Bet: Now I worry a little bit about Power being an outright bet this week because he had just won an event, but this is a new season, and for a guy like Power who ended the year as one of the best golfers to only make it to the Northern Trust that should sting. Knowing that he was a top 10 player at the end of the season and having virtually nothing to show it. Power has the best recent form out of anyone in the field and is a top 30 stat fit. Power is a player that has played well at this course as well missing the cut in his most recent start but prior to that finishing 19th, and 18th.
Aaron Wise - (50/1) - Outright Bet: Wise is looking like a great flyer play this week as he has been playing much better as of recent making the cut in his last 3 events with better finishes in each. (17th, 21st, and 46th). Wise has also made three straight cuts at this event with a 17th, 39th, and 25th place finish. Wise is a perfect lineup filler play this week. At his current odds of 50/1 he is a player that is a great value for a betting card. He has the tools, and stats to suggest that he could win this week.
Low Tier:
Scott Piercy (80/1) - Outright Bet: Piercy has been is some elite recent form making the cut in his last 5 event including two top 15 finishes in his last 3 starts. Piercy made the cut in his lone start here last year. For me this is a great price point for a guy that is seemingly playing better. If Piercy continues his strong recent form that would mean that he is in contention come Sunday. At this course that could easily mean that he break through for a win.