Betting Card Preview:
925 Sports had a great run last year hitting on a winner or second place finisher in 50% of the events. If we just look at the 2021 year it has been over 60%. We just missed out on a few long shot bets winning as well with Troy Merritt, Roger Sloan, and Sam Burns all failing to convert there win opportunities at + 100/1. The biggest long shot bets we hit last year were Matt Jones 70/1 at the Honda Classic, and Billy Horschel at 80/1 for the Dell Match Play tournament. This year we look to continue that good run of consistently having a betting card player in the hunt on the back 9 of a Sunday afternoon.
Last Week Recap:
Last week we had both Aaron Wise, and Cameron Tringale live going into Sunday. Both ended up having their worst round of the tournament. Still it is always a good thing to have a player in contention going into Sunday. The player that ended up winning was Sam Burns who was a top 12 play in the 925 Player Pool, and top 8 overall in the 925 Model.
Key Stats:
Strokes Gained Approach
Birdie Or Better %
Par 5 Scoring
Below you will see the top outright bets this week. They will be sorted based on how they are priced in DFS (Draftkings).
OUTRIGHT BETS
Will Zalatoris - 22/1: Willy Z had a top 5 finish at this event last year, which somewhat kick started his great run. One thing I notice last week was that he said he was much more motivated to play well this year because he did not get to play in the playoffs last year. At this point of the season that is something I think is worth paying attention to. On top of that Willy Z is ranking out as a top 5 pick in the 925 model this week sporting some solid starts in his last 4 events. He is a play this week that has a great chance to hit a win this week.
Matthew Wolff - 40/1: After not really like Wolff last week, I sort of really like him this week. Last week we didn't know what we would get out of him, now this week we at least have an idea. He finished 17th last week while showing some real upside on 3 out of the 4 days. He has also played really well at this tournament in the past finishing 2nd, and 18th. He has an average finish of top 30 or better on "Easy" courses. I feel like we will know pretty early on Thursday whether or not this was a good bet.
Maverick McNealy - 60/1: McNealy is a play that I really like across the board in Fantasy Golf. Not only does he have local ties to this area but he also is coming in on some great recent form. Now some people (myself) included might be a little scared of him as a play in DFS because we have no idea how to know how he is going to respond after failing to get the win in his last event. His only bad stat in recent was his start at the BMW Championship but he still has made 9 straight cuts in a row. He also gains strokes putting on this green size as well as green type. If you do not play him in DFS put an outright bet on him. (Like Tringale last week).
Cameron Tringale - 35/1: So if Tringale felt like a trap play last week, then this week is going to be even more tough to stomach him as a play, but it should be the correct move. Tringale has an average finish of 24th on "Easy" Courses over the past year and has had some strong finishes recently finishing 11th, 22nd, 52nd, 21st, 16th, and 26th. The worry is that 11th place finish as he crumbled down the stretch last week. He easily could have won but just choked it away. Always difficult to know how a player will respond after that. I sort of feel like Tringale is a better outright bet than DFS play again this week.
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