In the free write up we provide a top play at each pricing tier. For a bigger breakdown of the event, this week click the "Join 925 Nation" Button. It's the best value in PGA DFS in the industry.
Last week in this write-up we gave you Bubba Watson T18, Tyrell Hatton 6th, Carlos Ortiz T16, and Webb Simpson T61. Webb was a simple pivot from the chalk, and I liked the idea of using him as a pivot play. Rory who was our top play on the board finished 5th.
Last week our 3 core plays (Rory, Hatton, and Bubba) had an average finish of 9th. Overall our top 12 plays had an average finish of 16th. DJ and Webb Simpson were the only plays not to hit or exceed value.
The top 3 value plays had an average finish of 19th. With Ortiz and Munoz finishing inside T16.
The player pool and content for WGC Event was really dominant, but as I warned you about the randomness that is associated with No Cut events makes it a lot harder to have a great week even with great plays.
The Puerto Rico Open was the Alternate event last week. Our top play Matthew NeSmith finished T6. There was only one MC from our Core – Mid Exposure plays. Meaning that 93 % of those plays made the cut. The only MC coming from Zac Blair who missed the cut by one stroke, and really his tournament was ruined by one shot on one hole where he had a triple bogey. (Made Par on the hole in round 2).
The form keeps trending upwards for 925, and I think this will finally be the week that it all comes together for a HUGE week. Feels a lot like Lanto Griffin, or Sebastian Munoz when we pegged them to be top plays when they won: form was trending in the right direction, and everything was lining up for them that week. That is the week we have this week!
We made it through the “rough” stretch of the season, and can finally go out and attack slates, and that is exactly what I will be doing this week. Both on the full slate, and the showdown slates.
TOP PLAYS THIS WEEK
Billy Horschel: My biggest worry with Horschel this week is that I get this feeling he could be the play this week that is the right play, but ends up missing the cut by one. When I have said this in the past month or so those players have somehow missed the cut. (Blair, Furyk, Bubba, Gary, Etc). He is the right play this week though, and I just can't pass him up especially at this price point. He has made the cut in his last 3 events, with two straight top 10 finishes. He is also hitting the ball extremely well! Top 25 in Total Driving, Ball Striking, and Strokes Gained total. He ranks 45th in GIR, and top 10 in Total putting. He has made 3 out of 4 cuts here. The cuts he made he finished T16, T4, and T8.
Daniel Berger: Berger has finished T36, T29, MC, and MC here in the last 4 years. Mixed results, and typically I would worry about having a core play with only 50 % made cuts at an event. But Berger has been in great form this whole year. He has only 1 missed out and that was a horrible performance. He is a top 10 stat fit, and top 12 overall play in my model this week. He really does not have a weakness in his game right now.
Jim Furyk: Furyk is another part of the puzzle this week as well. He has great course history finishing T9, and T46 here in the last four years. He is a top 20 stat fit, and a top 25 play overall. He ranks 1st in GIR, and 57th in BA. I do not mind the idea of dropping down to Furyk in cash this week.
Tim Wilkinson: Wilkinson I like because of his recent form, he has made 6 out of his last 7 cuts. He also ranks out has a good stat fit ranking top 25. I think he should make the cut this week thus I like him as a value play.
For the full write up this week, as well as our Player Pool, Model Rankings, Player Exposures, and a Sample Build Click the "Join 925 Nation" Button.