World Wide Technology Championship 2026: Outright Bets, Core Plays, Bets, Lineup Process, Value Plays, and Player Pool)
Jumping into a quick straightforward breakdown of the World Wide Technology Championship. Few plays, simple bets, and easy builds.
Also I just pushed a recent update to the website, the NineToFive Sports Fantasy Golf Hub. This is a pre-tournament golf tool that users can use for research, DFS, and betting tips. This is the first rollout version of the tool, so there might be some slight errors. For instance I realized the logic for Ownership Leverage needs to be updated for no-cut events (inside the Fantasy Golf Hub; still working at the normal location). This week is a standard cut event (top 65 + ties), so that should not be the issue here. You have also probably noticed updates to the Leaderboard / Showdown page (not the PGA Leader Board), and the Lineup Builder. I will hopefully be getting out a video soon covering all of those updates. This can be found by going to the Member Tools page. https://www.ninetofivesports.com/member-tools
*Please note I always publish the rough draft version of this write-up, and then come back and edit it / correct it later that day. If there are grammatical errors that is why.
SLATE CONFIDENCE RATING: Yellow
Slate confidence rating is a way of looking at the slate in terms of predictability. Red will be a week in which I am reducing my units bet. Typically this will mean entering the same amount of lineups but in a contest where the entry $ amount is less. A Yellow week is a standard week. Green is a week that appears to be very easy to predict, these are weeks in which we typically have a full field event that is loaded. (Majors) thus it should be very easy to make a good profitable lineup. **Note for betting my strategy does not change per week.
I like a lot of the value spots this week, while we are also getting enough soft pricing in the mid tier range to make this an appealing week to attack.
KEY STATS:
*Based off of which key stats led to golfers winning but also making the cut in previous years at the course tournament. I look for which one or two Strokes Gained stats matter the most. Look to see whether this is a wedge fest or a long iron event. (175-125 stats don't really matter in terms of predicting who will play well in a given week) Find out which scoring stat matters the most (BOB, B2B, or BA). Find if this is a course in which accuracy or distance matters the most.
Course History:
Going forward Course History for an event with go by H1, H2, H3, and H4. For most weeks that will simply be 2025, 2024, 2023, and 2022 course history. (Last 4 years is course history is when the data is the most significant)
Weather:
Per PGA Tour website - tournament page - Course Stats - Weather
BETTING PICKS:
First Round Leader
I will be targeting AM Tee Times that rank out top 5% for FRL betting using the NineToFive betting sheet until further notice (basically if weather tells us not to). Note you can always bet on golfers to finish Top
5 or Top, just make there they are paying out a tie.
Keith Mitchell 40/1
Jackson Suber 40/1
Ryan Gerard 27/1
Chris Kirk 50/1
Blades Brown 35/1
Round 1 - 3-Ball Bets
Available by clicking on either the Ownership Leverage, or Props page on NineToFive, then click on the 3 person Icon. I will typically only bet on golfers that have a 40% likelihood to win or type their group. Those will be highlighted in the PGA Tour Betting Sheet - Click on 3 Ball Bets
Matchup Tournament Bets:
Best matchup bet for the week.
More will be highlighted in the PGA Tour Betting Sheet - Betting Page Dropdown - Matchup Bets You can also find the best matchup bets per round here as well.
Outright Bets:
2024 Recap = 12 Outright Winners = 144 Units of Profit (Wyndham Clark winning at +100/1 Odds at Pebble carried)
Picture 1 = Golfers that are the statistical best Outright Bets. This is determined by looking at which data points were the most predictable in regards to players that won the past two seasons. These golfers meet at least 80% or more of the statistical thresholds used to determine winners.
I really like all 4 Good outright bets. They will be bets that I am on this week. I also think they make for good top 20 bets.
Jordan L Smith
Ben Silverman (Longshot)
Data Tag: Core Plays
Golfers that are the most likely to make the cut, and meet or out produce their price tag. To be a Core Play golfers need to be coming in "Checking All the Boxes"
No Core Plays again this week.
Data Tag: High Exposure
Players that have one knock: whether that be course history, recent form, stat fit, safety, upside or price. (*This is based off of the the NineToFive Data Tag, which accurately marks a slight flaw in a great play thus why they would only be high exposure plays)
Due to this price I really like Jordan L Smith, and I will be treating him as more of a Core Play. He is a good play across the board. The one concern is that he has no course history. He makes up for that ranking top 5 in Specialist Rank.
The concern with Michael Kim is going to be his stat fit, but he has been playing better fall, and has good course history. I view him more as a Mid Exposure play.
Jackson Koivun I worry about his price and being able to pay that off. The fair and balanced approach looks more appealing to me this week.
Data Tag: Mid Exposure
Players that are still good plays but have more than one flaw to them as a play this week. This could be due to recent form, stat fit, course history, injury uncertainly or just due to the fact that their are better plays around their price tag.
Ben James, and Blades Brown I do really like this week, I feel they have the upside to win, but I do feel like we can get better and safer plays lower down.
A few of those plays are Ben Kohles, and Jackon Suber both of whom I view as more of Core Plays. Both has a made cut here, with Suber finishing top 15 last year. Whereas Ben Kohles has been in elite form ranking out 1st in the field. This is a clear mistake.
Trace Crowe I also really like, made the cut here in 24 but then had tow WD. Have made 5 straight cut including a recent 11th, and 3rd place finish. Across the board he is very appealing.
Power, and Horchel I think are ideal Mid Exposure type plays. They both have the ability to finish top 10.
Ben Silverman is an outright bet that I like at 100/1 and a good top 20 bet. Finished 21st at this event last year, and has finished 19th, and 3rd in his last 2 event. He is also an elite stat fit.
Data Tag: Low Exposure
Risk/Reward Plays, Plays to get a made cut, Shoulder Shrug Plays, or Fomo Plays
Value plays that I like this week are pictured below.
The low exposure tier is pretty awesome this week.
Ben Griffin's biggest knock is his form but with a 5th place finish last week I think we can look past that especially given his great course history. The price is the thing I don't like.
Want to read more?
Subscribe to ninetofivesports.com to keep reading this exclusive post.
